Mallorca have won three of their last five matches and have been scoring consistently, whereas Cadiz have not won in five games but have managed three draws, showing they can still find the net in tight contests. Mallorca's away lead-defending rate is only 33 %, meaning they frequently concede after taking the lead. This combination makes it likely that both sides will score in what should be an open encounter.

Droguet leads the head-to-head 1-0 with a straight-sets win (6-3 7-5) on indoor hard at Bratislava 2 Challenger in October 2025, where he dominated on serve (14 aces, 79% first-serve points won, 85% break points saved) while Molcan managed only 3 aces and won 0% of break points. Droguet's 2026 indoor-hard record is 15-7 (career 74-53) versus Molcan's 5-4 (career 36-37). Droguet, 25, won back-to-back Challenger titles at Cassis and Saint-Tropez in September, reaching a career-high #69; Molcan, 28, has battled recurring injuries (multiple retirements in 2024-25) and had to play two qualifying matches here (Altmaier, Borges), while Droguet received a wildcard and is fresh after a Vienna qualifying loss on 25 October. Surface, form, H2H, and fitness all point to the Frenchman.

Fortaleza (4th, 61 pts) host Atletico GO (8th, 54 pts) in a direct G-6 clash. Fortaleza boast strong home form (59% win rate, 1.59 xGF) vs Atletico's poor away record (29% wins, 0.88 xGF). Key defenders Cardona and Jailson return from suspension, shoring up a backline that concedes 0.94 at home. Atletico have lost 2 of last 5 away and rely heavily on ex-Fortaleza striker Coutinho. Fortaleza's draw-heavy recent run (3D in 5) caps upside, but home advantage + defensive reinforcements + table position make a home win the sharpest value.

Limache at home are the league's most dangerous attacking side by xG (2.2 xG/game, highest in the division) and average 1.88 goals per game, with Daniel Castro (13 goals) and Jean Meneses (6 goals, 9 assists) leading a front line that has produced 8 goals in its last 5 home outings. Audax Italiano arrive in 12th, draw-heavy (9 draws in 25), and have scored only 3 goals in their last 5 matches while conceding 3 - a low-event, defensive profile away from home. Audax are also without centre-back Cristobal Munoz (season-ending cruciate injury) and carry six regulars on four/five yellow cards, suspension risk that tends to make them more cautious. H2H meetings have been open (all of the last 3 over 2.5, both teams scoring in 2 of 3), but Audax's recent away form has tightened considerably, and Limache's home scoring edge (5 wins in 7 at the Estadio Gustavo Ocaranza earlier in the season, 34 goals in 17 home-leaning fixtures) should decide this one.

Goias host CRB in a direct G-6 play-off six-pointer at the Serrinha. Goias arrive in their best stretch of the season - unbeaten in four (W-W-D-W), three consecutive clean sheets, 10 of the last 12 points, and Kadu Sousa in red-hot form after a brace at Ceara. At home they win 53% of games (9/17) and concede only 1.00 per match, with a 35% clean-sheet rate that has climbed to three in a row. CRB travel poorly: 6 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats away, 1.71 goals conceded per away game, and they just lost Lucas Lovat at left-back. Although CRB carry more firepower (53 goals, 1.51 per game) and Mikael returns, their away record and the Serrinha atmosphere point to the home side edging a tight, decisive contest.